Asteroid 30 stories high in the apartment building, back to Earth...2.3% chance of collision in 2032
Feb 12, 2025
|
It is an asteroid named '2024 YR4'.
Astronomers are now predicting that the probability of colliding with the Earth in 2032 is one in 43 (about 2.33%).
The asteroid's probability of hitting Earth, first observed on December 27, 2024, was initially 1 in 83, or about 1.2%.
Astronomers estimate that the asteroid is up to 90 meters wide, similar to the height of 30 floors of an apartment building.
It is currently predicted that it could explode with 15 megaton of energy from TNT if it hits Earth at its estimated size.
This can give the same impact as the Tunguska asteroid, which flattened 2150㎢ of the Siberian forest in 1908.
It is also 100 times more powerful than the nuclear bomb dropped on Hiroshima, Japan at the end of World War II.
In response, the U.S. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) has decided to share information on the path and speed of the asteroid '2024 YR4' obtained through the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST).
However, many scholars are skeptical about the possibility of asteroid '2024 YR4' colliding with real Earth.
Experts predicted that the probability of collision of 2024 YR4 will gradually decrease over time, and that the probability of collision will approach zero as additional observation data is secured.
This article was translated by Naver AI translator.
