Official extinction of Kim Ha-sung's trade, "SD ineffective extension contract, last chance to spend money"...July rebound → $100 million FA hit the jackpot

Jul 02, 2024

Official extinction of Kim Ha-sung's trade, 'SD ineffective extension contract, last chance to spend money'...July rebound → 100 million FA hit the jackpot
San Diego Padres Kim Ha-sung hits a timely double on the left-field line in the seventh inning against the Boston Red Sox on the 1st (Korea time). AP Yonhap News



Official extinction of Kim Ha-sung's trade, 'SD ineffective extension contract, last chance to spend money'...July rebound → 100 million FA hit the jackpot
San Diego Padres Kim Ha-sung. AFP Yonhap News
For Kim Ha-sung, July is 'Time of Promise'.

Kim Ha-sung, who is in his fourth season as a member of the San Diego Padres, is finally in July, when he can decide his fate later this year. The match against the Boston Red Sox has already been played at Fenway Park on the 1st (Korea time), but the 2nd is the first day of July in the U.S. local time.

According to the monthly statistics from April to September, Kim Ha-sung, who entered the Major League in 2021, his performance in July is the best. He played in 63 games in July and marked a batting average of 0.304, seven home runs, 26 RBIs, 33 runs, an on-base percentage of 0.391, a slugging percentage of 464 and an OPS of 0.855.



In particular, Kim Ha-sung's bat was the hottest last summer. He played in 24 games with a batting average of 0.337, five home runs, nine RBIs, 21 points, and an OPS of 0.999. His batting average and OPS are the highest ever among Kim Ha-sung's monthly units. At that time, Kim Ha-sung was active as a leadoff for the San Diego lineup.

Considering this history, Kim Ha-sung's determination in July, who struggled at bat until the middle of this season, is bound to be different. Kim Ha-sung hit a timely double against Boston on the 1st, continuing his hit streak in nine consecutive games. During this period, he hit a batting average of 0.344 (11 hits in 32 at-bats). It is no exaggeration to say that we are ready to rebound.



Official extinction of Kim Ha-sung's trade, 'SD ineffective extension contract, last chance to spend money'...July rebound → 100 million FA hit the jackpot
Kim Ha-sung's July is the best of his monthly grades. USATODAY Yonhap News
However, it is still not enough to make a big hit in the FA market at the end of this year. As of today, Kim Ha-sung marked a batting average of 0.228 (66 hits in 289 at-bats) with 10 home runs, 38 RBIs, 45 points, 47 walks, 15 steals, a on-base percentage of 0.336, a slugging percentage of 0.388, and an OPS of 0.724. The batting average and OPS should be raised to at least 0.250 and 0.750 or higher. It is the minimum condition to secure a contract period of more than five years and a total of more than $100 million.

Local media Major League Trade Rumors (MLBTR) placed Kim Ha-sung eighth in the '2024-2025 MLB FA Power Ranking: June Edition' on the 28th.



MLBTR said 'Kim Ha-sung's offense is not that interesting. However, he is a good hitter because he judges strike zones well and has complete contact technology. He gets as many walks as he strikes out, but his batting average in-play is disappointing at 0.236, weakening his overall offense. He has poor assets in that regard, and Sabermetrics of in-play batting is not that impressive.

It can be said that Kim Ha-sung's batting skills were evaluated objectively.

Official extinction of Kim Ha-sung's trade, 'SD ineffective extension contract, last chance to spend money'...July rebound → 100 million FA hit the jackpot
Kim Ha-sung's defense is top-class, but his batting power is average at best. USATODAY Yonhap News
Official extinction of Kim Ha-sung's trade, 'SD ineffective extension contract, last chance to spend money'...July rebound → 100 million FA hit the jackpot
One of Kim Ha-sung's strengths is excellent base learning. USATODAY Yonhap News
What attracts attention is hard hits and long balls. According to MLBTR, Kim Ha-sung's hard hit rate this season is 35.6%, which is a career high. However, it is 3.5 percentage points lower than the average of 39,1% of all hitters. The ratio of walks to at-bats is 13.8%, far above the league average of 8.4% and the strikeout ratio is 15.3%, 7.4 percentage points lower than the overall 22.7%. Despite having such good abilities, the hard hit ratio does not meet the expectations of the clubs.

Last winter, the New York Yankees hesitated to recruit Cody Bellinger, an FA slugger, because the hard hit ratio and average batting speed decreased from 2022. Bellinger's hard hit ratio has decreased from 38.2% in 2022 to 31.4% in 2023 and the average batting speed from 89.4 miles to 87.9 miles. This is because Bellinger focused on contact heating. The Yankees didn't like it.

The same evaluation can be made of Kim Ha-sung. Of course, the hard hit ratio and batting speed are not absolute to Kim Ha-sung's value. This is because the value of defense is relatively high, and it has strengths of fast feet and pioneering eyes. Still, in order to gain attention in the FA market, it must show a certain level of batting indicators.

Official extinction of Kim Ha-sung's trade, 'SD ineffective extension contract, last chance to spend money'...July rebound → 100 million FA hit the jackpot
San Diego Luis Arraez. AFP Yonhap News
San Diego is second in the National League West and second in the wild card with 46 wins and 42 losses as of the 1st. It is virtually impossible to catch up with the Los Angeles Dodgers, which are ranked first in the Western Division. You have to aim for the postseason as a wild card. The FanGraphs have a 59.1% chance of San Diego's fall baseball season. However, it is not easy because 10 teams are competing for three NL wild cards. San Diego plans to take a buyer's stance, not a seller, ahead of the trade deadline on the 31st.

Local media Forbes reported on the 2nd that the Padres, who acquired Dylan Shees in March and Luis Arraez in May through blockbuster trades, cannot afford to stop there. The Padres have signed huge extensions with many star players, but they have yet to see their results, so they will use the trade deadline as their last chance to spend money.

In other words, it will secure top-class players through active trade promotion. This means that the trade rumors that have been circulating around Kim Ha-sung for the past year have also disappeared. This year's trade deadline is July 31.

For San Diego, Kim Ha-sung should raise his offensive capability in July to the fullest. That way, you can feel safe even after August, when your physical strength declines.



jhno@sportschosun.com