'The first 50 home runs in history - 50 steals' vs. '60 Home Run + Unified Triple Crown'...What are the results of the local media fan vote?
Sep 02, 2024
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Local fan media 'Just Nation' was released on the 1st (Korean time) 'Who is having a better season?An online vote on the question ' gave the answer 'Otani overwhelmed'.
According to the media, a total of 2,835 fans participated in the survey, with 78.6% picking Ohtani, and the remaining 21.4% supporting Judge. Given that it was a survey conducted by the Dodgers fan media, it would not be wrong if a large number of Dodgers fans gathered and the result came out.
Even so, there is no reason for Ohtani to lag behind Judge in the historical sense.
Ohtani is aiming for the first 50 home runs and 50 steals in history. Ohtani, who already achieved 40 home runs and 40 steals in the shortest period in history against the Tampa Bay Rays on the 24th of last month, has not slowed down since then and has 44 home runs and 43 steals as of the 2nd. The two sub-documents are at a similar pace. This is why there is a high probability of achieving it.
By applying the pace so far, Ohtani can arithmetically record 52 home runs and 51 steals. This means that there is an objectively more than 50% chance of achieving 50-50, which will be evaluated as the most brilliant achievement in history. Some say he is challenging a more difficult record than the 40 home runs and 70 steals set by Atlanta Braves Ronald Acuña Jr. last year.
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However, Judge's performance cannot be relatively disparaged. Judge is on pace to close to his record of 62 home runs in an AL season, which he set two years ago. Judge, who currently has 51 homers, can hit 60 homers arithmetically. However, Judge hit two home runs against the Colorado Rockies on the 26th of last month and failed to hit a home run in six consecutive games until the St. Louis Cardinals on the same day.
However, it is an all-time season based on the results so far. ESPN said on the 30th of last month, 'How is Jersey making the best season in Major League history?In the article titled ', Babe Ruth (0.378/0.512/0.846, 59 home runs, 168 RBIs, 12.8 WAR), Ted Williams (0.406/0.553/0.735, 37 home runs, 120 RBIs, 10.6 WAR), Mickey Mantle (0.353/0.464/0.705, 52 home runs, 130 RBIs, 11.2 WAR), Willie Mace (0.317/0.398/0.645, 52 home runs, 112 RBIs, 11.2 WAR, 1967 Karl Yastremski.9 WAR) was selected as a comparison target.
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In particular, Judge, who ranks first in home runs and RBIs in both leagues, will achieve an integrated triple crown if he ranks first in the batting average category. Currently, Kansas City Royals Bobby Wit Jr. is leading the batting in both leagues. He is 130, with 187 hits in 550 at-bats and a .340 batting average. It's a range that Judge can catch up with.
Since 1901, when the AL, NL, and the two major leagues were launched, there have been 15 batting triple crowns. Among them, the combined batting average, home run, and RBI of the two leagues, or the combined triple crown, was achieved five times. They include Detroit Tigers Ty Cobb in 1901, St. Louis Cardinals Rodgers Hornsby in 1925, Yankees Lou Gehrig in 1934, and Yankees Mantle in 1956. In other words, Judge can aim for the sixth combined triple crown in Major League history in 68 years since Mantle.
Depending on where the batter's season value is placed, people may have different opinions. Obviously, Ohtani's first 50 home runs to 50 steals, Judge's 60 home runs and integrated triple crowns are all records that will go down in history.
jhno@sportschosun.com