Ohtani's crazy season that even broke MVP colleagues' 'bias', presents FanGraphs "55.6% chance of achieving 50-50"
Sep 06, 2024
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The former is close to 100% likely to take place. There is no MVP candidate in the National League to check Ohtani. New York Mets Francisco Lindor, Arizona Diamondbacks Ketel Marte and Atlanta Braves Marcel Ojuna are mentioned, but they don't seem to be enough to catch up with Ohtani.
In particular, Lindor ranks first in NL with fWAR 7.3, beating Ohtani (6.6), but in bWAR, Ohtani is 7.0 far ahead of Lindor (6.3). The BBWAA (National Baseball Journalists Association), which exercises voting rights, is not a sufficient reason to turn a blind eye to Ohtani. In the end, it should be considered that Ohtani is the first designated hitter to become MVP.
The designated hitter system, which was first introduced by the American League in 1973 and applied to the National League from 2022, aims to provide more dynamic attractions to fans with attack-oriented baseball. However, most baseball players are negative about the fact that designated hitters should be MVP. How can you be the best player when you don't defend.
However, if Ohtani achieves an unanswered record of 50-50 this year, he cannot be a variable in becoming MVP, whether he is a designated hitter or not. Everyone agrees on this part.
Reporter Bill Plunkett of Orange County Register, a leading media outlet in the West, said on the 6th (Korea time) 'Shohei Otani, should the designated hitter for full-time win the MVP award?In an article titled ', the position of three MVP-winning Dodgers players was reported.
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Freeman "I always thought designated hitters should not be MVP. But seeing Ohtani do it this year, it's hard to keep that in mindIt is difficult to regard a designated hitter as MVP as a baseball player. But look at Ohtani's performance. I'm trying to do something that no one has ever done before. He goes into only four or five at-bats a game, but doesn't he try to play 50-50. We have to reconsider that the designated hitter cannot be the MVP."
Freeman was honored with his first career MVP with a batting average of 0.341, 13 homers, 43 RBIs and an OPS of 1.102 in the 2020 short season when he was with the Atlanta Braves, and he has played in two games as a designated hitter while mainly watching the first baseman.
Freeman went on to stress that `If you're having a season where it's hard for anyone other than Otani to believe, you'll have to change your mind.'
Betts expressed a similar opinion. He said "I don't think I'm picking a designated hitter as MVP, but no designated hitter did it like Ohtani. Regardless of offense or defense, the best player who helped the team win should be the MVP. Does MVP mean the most valuable player. Without Ohtani, our team wouldn't be in the position it is now."
Betts won the AL MVP in 2018 when he was in Boston, playing 128 games as an outfielder and three games as a designated hitter. He marked a batting average of 0.346, 32 home runs, 80 RBIs, 129 runs, 30 steals, and 1.078 OPS.
Kershaw, who was named the most recent MVP as a pitcher in 2014, said "MVP should cover all the most valuable things. It is clear that defense plays a role in certain areas, but if the offense is too good, it is worth it in itself. Ohtani is qualified as MVP.
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As a result of the simulation, the probability of achieving 50-50 in each game from the game against the Cleveland Guardians on the 7th to the game against the Colorado Rockies on the 30th, the final game of the season, was derived, and these figures were combined to suggest 55.6%. The most likely game to have that record is against Colorado on Sept. 28 at Coors Field, which is expected to be 6.3%. He then suggested a 6.1% chance against Colorado on the 29th, a 5.9% chance against the San Diego Padres on the 27th, and an away game against Colorado on the 30th, respectively.
In the meantime, Clemens said '50 home runs and 50 steals are about 56% likely to be filled, which gives me intuition. I think 50-50 will be achieved by 84% of the time. The steal is an act of will, which Ohtani explained is higher than the figure suggested by the forecasting system in that he is definitely trying to achieve 50 steals.
jhno@sportschosun.com
