Two powerful swings and misses, 'No hit for four' Ohtani takes a moment to catch his breath...'50-50 Probability 79.4%' FanGraphs
Sep 14, 2024
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Ohtani, who entered the countdown at 50-50, was silent with no hits in four at-bats in an away game against the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on the 14th (Korea time).
Ohtani, who failed to add a home run and a stolen base, maintained 47 homers and 48 steals. After playing three games against Atlanta on the 15th and 17th, the Dodgers will move on to Miami on the 18th and continue their three consecutive away games against the Miami Marlins at Rondipo Park. Dodgers manager Dave Roberts previously predicted Miami as the venue for Ohtani's 50-50 achievement in an interview with the Orange County Register.
If he added three home runs and two steals, Ohtani, who reached the long-awaited 50-50 mark, also began to be conscious of the record. If the swing grows and goes out as a runner, he starts as soon as he has time.
However, he couldn't even get on base on this day. Stranded to Atlanta starter Spencer Schwelenbach. Schwelenbach, a right-hander rookie, is a fireballer who made his major league debut this year. He allowed four hits, one walk, six strikeouts, and two runs in six innings to win his sixth win (seven losses) of the season.
Schwelenbach's fastball speed of 92 pitches reached a maximum of 97.2 miles and an average of 95.7 miles. On the other hand, Dodgers starter Landon Nyack lost the game by allowing seven hits and five runs in two innings. Nyack, who is also a rookie, had a 2-4 record and a 3.70 ERA.
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He struck out after two outs in the third inning, trailing 1-5. In ball count 1B2S, Schwelenbach's fourth 85.9-mile splitter flew into the outside strike zone and fell off the home plate, turning the bat around with his back out.
He hit a fly to left field in the third at-bat of the fifth inning when he followed 2-5. Schwelenbach's second pitch pushed a 87.4 mile slider into the middle, but it was caught by left fielder Ramon Lorino as it rose to 49 degrees. He struck out swinging again after one out in the eighth inning when the team was 2-5 underdogs. On the full count, right-hander Joe Jimenez's 6th 94.8-mile fastball went up to eye level on the middle course and turned his bat around. He looked full of energy.
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With 15 games left for the Dodgers, Ohtani can record 51.7 home runs and 52.9 steals if he applies his pace so far.
Ohtani's probability of achieving 50-50, which was updated by FanGraphs through simulation the day before, is 79.4%. The FanGraphs suggested a 14.1% probability that Ohtani will reach 50-50 on the road, followed by a 48% probability that he will achieve during the six consecutive home games against the Colorado Rockies and San Diego Padres from the 21st to the 27th. For now, the Dodgers' home fans can have higher expectations after finishing the first game of the away game without any income.
The Dodgers, who gave up the first four consecutive away games against Atlanta, marked 87-60 and narrowed their gap with second-place San Diego in the NL West to 4.5 games. San Diego defeated the San Francisco Giants 5-0.
On the other hand, Roberts said in a briefing with local media on the possibility of Ohtani taking the postseason, who is currently playing last-minute rehabilitation pitching, including starting bullpen pitching, `For some possibility, we need to leave the door open slightly. I think it's pretty good to see the need for things to flow like that, and it's reasonable to do so in all situations, including the game and Ohtani's physical condition. It's a plausible story." In other words, Ohtani can be used as a bullpen or closing pitcher for at least one inning.
jhno@sportschosun.com
