What should I do about the 'Autumn Dodgers' team that I wouldn't have known about? For the third year in a row, DS is on the brink of extortion...SD, one victory left
Oct 09, 2024
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Machado went out as a leadoff hitter in the bottom of the second inning, trailing 0-1, and hit a low cutter in the middle of 92.8 miles of Dodgers starter Walker Buehler for a heavy hit. Jackson Merrill then hit a ground ball flowing toward first base. Dodgers first baseman Freddie Freeman's difficult catch and kneel down to second base hit Machado's back and flowed to left field, leading to a chance to first and third bases with no outs.
At this time, Machado's base learning was somewhat special. Freeman's throw hit him in the back the moment he ran to second base while stepping on the grass slightly off the "running lane". Freeman's field selection and throwing errors on the record,
In response, MLB.com threw Freeman, who was in front of the first base, to second base with his knee down, and Machado slightly changed his main over the infield turf. It wasn't a violation of the rules unless he changed the main to avoid the tag' Freeman's throw hit Machado in the back, and the Padres had a chance to hit first and third bases with no outs.
After the game Machado was practicing this bass learning "all the way through the spring training. Just in time, such a situation emerged at a very important moment. We were able to make a base in our favor, and we were going to make it difficult for him to throw to second base the moment the ground ball went in front of Freddie." It was a planned base learning.
Freeman, on the other hand, `I've seen so many situations like that. It is a scene that I repeated many times even in my head. If I had been a runner, I would have done the same."
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Shortstop Miguel Rojas, who caught Xander Bogaerts' ground ball, then stepped on second base and threw it to first base, but all the runners were safe. a fielder's choice without a mistake. In the meantime, Machado, the third baseman, homered and tied 1-1.
San Diego, which turned the tide 3-1 with David Peralta's double on the right-field line, continued its opportunity with Jake Cronenworth hitting an infield hit to the shortstop and no outs on the first and third bases. Kyle Higashioka's sacrifice fly to center field then led to a 4-1 run, and Fernando Tatis Jr., a two-out runner with two outs, beat Buehler with a two-run shot to left, widening the gap to 6-1.
The Dodgers gradually followed with Teoscar Hernandez's grand slam in the top of the third inning, but San Diego later thoroughly blocked additional runs and won a thrilling victory.
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In the past division series, a team with a 2-1 lead until Game 3 has advanced to the league championship series 58 times out of 79 times, with a 73.4% chance. More specifically, after dividing the first and second games by one win and one loss, winning the third game to make it 2-1 and passing the series, 36 times out of 49 times, or 73.5%. In either case, the historical probability that San Diego will beat the Dodgers in this DS is 73%.
The Dodgers are in a big crisis. San Diego has decided to start ace Dylan Sheese in Game 4 at 10:08 a.m. on the 10th. It's super strong. On the 6th, Siz threw 82 pitches while allowing six hits and five runs in three ⅓ in the first game. He is going to take the mound after a three-day break. This means that he is determined and strong-willed. On the other hand, the Dodgers do not have a proper starting pitcher. The bullpen day is the most likely. San Diego has a high chance of winning Game 4.
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The Dodgers have been in the postseason for 12 consecutive years since 2013. Eleven of them, including this year, were eligible for the NL West championship. However, 5 out of 10 postseason wins with district wins until last year were 'Out of DS'. That's why Roberts says it's for the regular season, not for the postseason.
Roberts, who took the helm of the Dodgers in 2016, boasts a winning percentage of 0.627 (851 wins and 506 losses) in the regular season so far this year. However, the postseason winning rate drops significantly to 0.529 (46 wins and 41 losses). Excluding winning the World Series in 2020, which was a shortened season of 60 games, the postseason winning rate is 0.478 (33-36), far below the winning rate of 50%.
Experts initially predicted San Diego's dominance ahead of this DS. The reason was that the starting lineup, which leads to Sizu, Darvish Yu and Michael King, is strong. On the other hand, the Dodgers' starters are anxious. Yamamoto Yoshinobu, who returned from injury, is still at a loss, and Jack Fleherty has also lost his consistency. Buehler, who had high expectations, failed to overcome the crisis in the second inning.
Shohei Ohtani, who showed off his presence by hitting a tying three-run home run in the first game, was silent with no hits in four at-bats in the second game, and was not satisfied with one hit and one score in four at-bats. In the eighth inning, he expressed regret by looking at the center's face after striking out a rookie on left-hander Tanner Scott's outer slider.
If the Dodgers are eliminated from the DS again this year, not only Ohtani but also Roberts and the team's leadership are expected to be shocked.
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jhno@sportschosun.com
