`Soto 987.6 billion won, not twice as surprising as Judge.' Can the Yankees catch it? a sign of soaring ransom prices

Nov 04, 2024

Soto 987.6 billion won, not twice as surprising as Judge.' Can the Yankees catch it? a sign of soaring ransom prices
FA's biggest fish Juan Soto is expected to sign a contract equivalent to twice that of Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees, drawing attention. In other words, a $720 million contract is possible, double the $360 million of Jersey. AFP Yonhap News



Soto 987.6 billion won, not twice as surprising as Judge.' Can the Yankees catch it? a sign of soaring ransom prices
후안 소토. AFP Yonhap News
It is no exaggeration to say that the destination of FA mogul Juan Soto depends on the willingness of the original New York Yankees to invest.

There are two main 'Soto Scenario'. It's either to stay in the Ankis or to transfer, but the prevailing view is that it will be difficult to stay in the Yankees at the moment. This is because Yankees owner Hal Steinbrenner is burdened with the luxury tax.

New York Post reporter Joel Sherman said in an article highlighting Soto's possibility of staying in the Yankees on the 4th (Korea time), `This year's Yankees payroll is expected to be about $315 million, and you have to pay about $60 million in taxes. Steinbrenner once said that the current payroll is unbearable for the Yankees.'He seems to want it to drop below $300 million and further below the maximum luxury tax ceiling of $291 million. If so, it is difficult to secure Soto unless a way to sign a large-scale contract is found.



Soto's FA value is estimated to be at least $500 million. In a survey of 'Soto FA Ransom and Destination' released by ESPN on the 1st, all 15 experts, including club officials and agents, expected a total of more than $500 million. Specifically, three people with $500 million to $549 million, three people with $550 million to $599 million, and seven people with $600 million to $699 million, and two people with more than $700 million. Many experts believe that it can break the 10-year, $700 million mark of Shohei Ohtani of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Soto 987.6 billion won, not twice as surprising as Judge.' Can the Yankees catch it? a sign of soaring ransom prices
LA Dodgers Shohei Ohtani speaks with a microphone at a World Series victory celebration held at Dodger Stadium on the 2nd (Korea time). EPA Yonhap News
New York Post columnist John Heyman went even further on the same day 'Top FA Soto's new magic number is considered $700 million (or more). It's $700 million solid, not $700 million with a 97 percent payment grace period that Ohtani put in when he signed with the Dodgers,' he said, adding that eight teams showed interest in Soto less than two hours after the end of the World Series, and that number increased to 11 this morning.



Reporter Sherman agreed with Heyman's prediction.

`If Soto wants to sign a contract that guarantees up to the age of 39, and pays an average annual salary of $46.08 million, which is calculated at Otani's present price, he could earn a total of $658 million,' he said. `However, he may want to sign a contract of $700 million without delay and become the first player to receive $50 million per year without delay.'



It is a sufficiently predictable scenario. Of the total contracts Ohtani signed with the Dodgers in December last year, 97% are deferred payments received for 10 years from 2034. Taking this into account, the current price is $460.8 million. It's less than half a billion dollars.

Local media believe that Soto will form a contract in the range of at least $500 million and up to $700 million as a complete contract without deferral of payment.

Reporter Sherman said `Soto's agent is Scott Boras. After the end of the 2000 season, he signed a 10-year, $252 million contract to Alex Rodregues, double the $126 million contract of the NBA's Kevin Garnett, the highest contract record in North American professional sports at the time. He said, `I wouldn't be surprised if Soto shot $720 million, double the $360 million in jersey on a symbolic basis.'

Reporter Sherman concluded that at this scale, it is difficult for owner Steinbrenner to listen.

Soto 987.6 billion won, not twice as surprising as Judge.' Can the Yankees catch it? a sign of soaring ransom prices
Steve Cohen, owner of the New York Mets. AP Yonhap News
Then, which club can invest Soto's ransom. Reporter Sherman says, `If Steve Cohen, the owner of the New York Mets, considers Soto a player who will make up the art of baseball, Steinbrenner will kneel before Cohen. Even if the Mets aren't that enthusiastic, the Yankees' path to go becomes clearer.' Soto will return to the West if the San Francisco Giants make a big offer, and move to Canada if he is offered a big deal by the Toronto Blue Jays. But if you reasonably infer, Soto wants to be a historic player, and that makes it easier with New York, especially with the Yankees,' he said.

For Soto, the Yankees are the ideal team, but if you want to get the ransom you want, you have to hold the hands of the Mets, San Francisco and Toronto.

New York Yankees owner Steinbrenner, who will be
Soto 987.6 billion won, not twice as surprising as Judge.' Can the Yankees catch it? a sign of soaring ransom prices
poses with the trophy apesers on the 20th of last month (Korea time) when he became the AL champion. General Manager Brian Cashman, left. AFP Yonhap News


jhno@sportschosun.com