There was no qualifying offer for Kim Ha-sung, 'A player who would have spent six years and $180 million if he was healthy' The value of the shoulder injury has declined

Nov 05, 2024

There was no qualifying offer for Kim Ha-sung, 'A player who would have spent six years and 180 million if he was healthy' The value of the shoulder injury has declined
If Kim Ha-sung moves to the FA contract because he was not offered a qualifying offer by the San Diego Padres, there will be no compensation for draft picks. USATODAY Yonhap News



There was no qualifying offer for Kim Ha-sung, 'A player who would have spent six years and 180 million if he was healthy' The value of the shoulder injury has declined
Kim Ha-sung is being replaced after injuring his shoulder against Colorado on August 19. AFP Yonhap News
Analysts say that the shoulder injury suffered in the second half of this season served as a fatal negative factor for Kim Ha-sung's FA value, drawing attention.

The Athletic columnist Keith Law placed Kim Ha-sung 11th overall in the '2024-2025 Top 50 FA' section posted on the 4th (Korea Standard Time).

At the same time, he wrote the following commentary.



In addition to reducing the playing time due to shoulder surgery, Kim Ha-sung's pitching power could be reduced after his return, so there is a possibility that he will put down his shortstop position. Kim Ha-sung's shoulder injury is different, but this is what Jurickson Profar experienced several months ago. 'If it were healthy Kim Ha-sung, he would have been in a position to win a big contract of $30 million per year (AAV) for six years. It is because there is a shortage of shortstop in the FA market this winter.

In January, before this season, Dennis Lin, a reporter who specializes in statistics in the same media, valued Kim Ha-sung's market value at $130 million to $150 million for seven years. He saw it as a player with a long-term contract of around $20 million in AAV, and the value observed by Law is higher than this.



There was no qualifying offer for Kim Ha-sung, 'A player who would have spent six years and 180 million if he was healthy' The value of the shoulder injury has declined
FA 김하성. AP Yonhap News
This is because there are only Kim Ha-sung and Willy Adames from the Milwaukee Brewers in the FA market this winter, and there are many clubs that need shortstop, including the Atlanta Braves, San Francisco Giants, and Boston Red Sox. On top of that, the original San Diego Padres also want Kim Ha-sung to stay, so it is analyzed that it is not too difficult to consider Kim Ha-sung's AAV at $30 million.

Compared to the treatment received by top shortstop in the FA market recently, the condition is not behind. Texas Rangers Corey Seager ($325 million for 10 years), Philadelphia Phillies Trey Turner ($300 million for 11 years), San Diego Xander Bogaerts ($280 million for 11 years) and Minnesota Twins Carlos Correa ($200 million for 6 years) were treated top-notch, and below them, Chicago Cubs Dansby Swanson ($177 million for 7 years), Detroit Tigers Javier Baez ($140 million for 6 years), and Boston Red Sox Trevor Story ($140 million for 6 years) were shortstops that could be compared to Kim Ha-sung before the injury.



Law added that if Kim Ha-sung misses about half of the 2025 season, it is possible to get a reasonable price for one year of contract this time and then go back to the market next winter. In other words, it may pursue a two- to three-year contract method that includes opt-out.

There was no qualifying offer for Kim Ha-sung, 'A player who would have spent six years and 180 million if he was healthy' The value of the shoulder injury has declined
Kim Ha-sung's FA value was found to have fallen significantly due to a shoulder injury. USATODAY Yonhap News
Kim Ha-sung's shoulder injury eventually affected the qualifying offer (QO). San Diego did not propose Kim Ha-sung at the QO deadline. In other words, even if Kim Ha-sung moves to another team through an FA contract, there is no need for separate compensation. This year's QO hit a record high of $21.05 million a year, and San Diego has decided that Kim Ha-sung's expected value is not that high.

The FA who received the QO on the day are Juan Soto, Corbin Burns, Alex Bregman, Max Fried, Willy Adames, Pete Alonso, Theosca Hernandez, Sean Munaia, Nick Martinez, Nick Pivetta, Anthony Santander, Luis Severino and Christian Walker.

MLB.com mentioned Paul Goldschmidt, Walker Buehler, Shane Bieber, Jurickson Profar, Tyler O'Neill, Gleyber Torres, and Kim Ha-sung as representative FA who were not presented with QOs.

The FA who was presented with the QO must decide whether to accept it or not by 6 a.m. on the 20th.



jhno@sportschosun.com