What will happen to a team like 751.6 billion won in labor costs alone? LAD predicts two consecutive losses in WS for the first time in the 21st century
Feb 06, 2025
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According to the data released by PECOTA, a U.S. sports prediction system, on the 6th (Korea time), the Dodgers have posted 104 wins and 58 losses this year, ranking first in both leagues.
The system believes that the Dodgers will be the only team among the 30 teams to surpass 100 wins this year. In addition, the Dodgers have a 99.6% chance of advancing to the playoffs, which is also No. 1 overall. The odds of winning the World Series were also the highest at 21.9%.
In the AL, the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles in the Eastern District are expected to record the highest winning rate in the league with 89 wins and 73 losses. However, the Yankees ranked first in the AL with 76.3% of the chances of advancing to the playoffs, the Texas Rangers ranked second with 75.6% and Baltimore ranked third with 75.2%. In terms of the probability of winning the World Series, the Yankees also had the highest probability in the AL with 7.6%.
The team with the second highest probability of advancing to the playoffs after the Dodgers in the NL was the Atlanta Braves in the Eastern District, who were presented with a 92-70 regular season and a 90.0% playoff probability. The Chicago Cubs in the Central District then ranked third with 91 wins and 71 losses and a playoff probability of 86.9%.
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If the Dodgers reach the top again this year, they will become the first team in the 21st century to lose two consecutive World Series games. No major league team has won the back-to-back World Series for two consecutive years since the Yankees took the supremacy of the back-to-back World Series from 1999 to 2000.
The Dodgers have such overwhelming power thanks to their active attraction of necessary players during the offseason. This winter, it also strengthened its starting rotation by recruiting FA left-hander Blake Snell for five years and $182 million and Japanese pitcher Roki Sasaki for $6.5 million, respectively. Last year, the Dodgers' biggest weakness, the starting lineup, was raised to the highest level by reinforcing two aces.
It caught big-arm outfielder Teosta Hernandez for three years and $66 million, and recruited outfielder Michael Confoto ($17 million for one year) and KBO-turned-all-weather infielder Kim Hye-sung ($12.5 million for three years) to add to the tightness in defense and lineup. In addition, the bullpen has also strengthened to the strongest level in the league. Last year, left-hander Tanner Scott, who made 33 saves and 95 saves in Texas, signed a four-year, $72 million contract to secure a closure, and recently brought set-up man Kirby Yates for a year and $13 million.
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It's the strongest. MLB.com said the predictions show what happens if you have a lot of star players, including Shohei Otani, Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, Blake Snell, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Tyler Glasnow, and Rocky Sasaki.
According to Spotrac, an annual salary site, the Dodgers are expected to have $390 million in payroll and $130 million in luxury taxes this year. The team's labor costs alone will cost more than $520 million (about 751.6 billion won). If it's not a win, there's nothing to say.
This article was translated by Naver AI translator.
